Joan Gust of Portage de Sioux reacting Sunday,聽July 26, 1993, to news that the Mississippi River will continue to rise and force her to leave her home. "I want to know who the hell's having so much fun that we have to suffer so," Gust said. At left is Paul Vossenkemper, her neighbor. File photo by Jerry Naunheim Jr.
Jerry Naunheim Jr.
Martin Sontheimer posted this message with sandbags on the roof of his St. Charles County home during the flood of 1993. The photograph, taken July 13, ran in newspapers worldwide. The house survived the flood. (Sam Leone/Post-Dispatch)
ST. LOUIS 鈥 The small town of Valmeyer, Ill., which had hugged the edge of the Mississippi River flood plain for more than 80 years, was essentially wiped off the map 鈥 forced to move to higher ground nearby.
Forty miles to the west, the muddy waters of the Missouri River poured into the Chesterfield Valley, inundating some 250 businesses.
Highway 40 (Interstate 64) was closed temporarily by the massive flood; an estimated 4,000 people locally were without jobs for months.
In the region, thousands of homes were flooded; some were swept away entirely.
Twenty-five years ago this week, one of the worst flooding events in U.S. history paralyzed the 最新杏吧原创 area and much of the Midwest.
In the aftermath of the devastating Flood of 1993, officials vowed to learn from the disaster and reduce future flood risk.
Yet major floods have struck the area with unusual frequency in the years since 鈥 and some experts say the region is now even more vulnerable.
Setting the stage
The summer of 1993 saw heavy rains follow a nine- or 10-month wet period that saturated the central U.S. and set the stage for months of high and record-breaking flood levels along the region鈥檚 major waterways, including the Mississippi and Missouri rivers.
鈥淪ome forecast points remained above flood stage for as long as five straight months,鈥 says an from the National Weather Service. In 最新杏吧原创, river heights exceeded 鈥渢he previous flood of record for more than three full weeks,鈥 and spent more days above flood stage than in the rest of the city鈥檚 recorded history combined.
The water鈥檚 months-long siege of sodden riverside towns and levees built to a climax by late July and early August. On July 30, floodwater overran the Chesterfield Valley when the Monarch Chesterfield Levee was breached, and on Aug. 1, the river gauge at 最新杏吧原创 hit its highest mark in recorded history with a crest of 49.58 feet 鈥 19.58 feet above flood stage, and more than 6 feet above the next highest level ever recorded.
In all, 20 million acres across nine states were inundated by that summer鈥檚 flooding, prompting evacuations of about 54,000 people, and leaving around 50,000 homes damaged or destroyed. It 50 deaths and, adjusted for inflation, the in sustained damage made it 鈥渢he most costly nontropical, inland flood event to affect the United States on record,鈥 according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Dan Hanes, a 最新杏吧原创 University professor who studies flood issues, calls it 鈥渁 once in a generation event. 鈥 I think it stands out in people鈥檚 memory because it hit so many places and lasted so long.鈥
The Flood of 1993, though, is notable for more than just the staggering toll it imposed on the region. The disaster provided the public and policymakers with hard-earned lessons about flood risk. But while progress has since been made to curb that risk in some areas, many say that even with a quarter-century of hindsight, the events of 1993 stand out most for critical lessons that have been ignored, and for the area鈥檚 continued 鈥 if not heightened 鈥 vulnerability to future major floods.
Questions asked at the time of the flood still apply today.
For instance, while aboard Air Force One on his way to visit the flood-ravaged area, President Bill Clinton was asked by the Post-Dispatch how levees and dams along the Upper Mississippi may have contributed to the disaster.
鈥淚 guess the candid answer to your question is I don鈥檛 know,鈥 Clinton told the paper. 鈥淲e really need to look at the extent to which federal policy made it better or made it worse.鈥
Twenty-five years later, those subjects Clinton broached 鈥 along with other questions about flood policy and river management 鈥 are still relevant. In fact, they could be even more urgent, depending on whom you ask.
That鈥檚 because in the time since, four other flood events 鈥 in 1995, 2013, 2016 and 2017 鈥 have cracked the list of the flood stages recorded at 最新杏吧原创.
Those events, and consistent with climate change forecasts, have stoked some concern about factors such as flood plain development and the reliance on levees for flood control 鈥 a line of defense that protects certain areas, but that some believe worsens risk elsewhere, by constricting rivers and pushing water higher.
Reassessing flood policy
Just as Clinton had mused to the Post-Dispatch, the 1993 flood sparked a top-down review of flood policy in its aftermath, meant to seize on teachable moments and identify opportunities for improvement. What followed, though, was what many describe as a mixed bag of incremental progress and roads not taken.
Beyond the sheer scale of the flood鈥檚 devastation, some thought the disaster鈥檚 high visibility from months of nightly media coverage could help grease the wheels for change.
鈥淚t was the CNN flood. ... 鈥93 is the flood that woke us up,鈥 said Gen. Gerald Galloway, the former U.S. Army Corps of Engineers official who spearheaded a federally commissioned that was perhaps the leading assessment of the flood. The report stressed better coordination among local, state and federal actors, and called for restoring more natural connections of rivers and their flood plains 鈥 a suggestion that would require having less development in harm鈥檚 way.
Galloway and other flood experts point to some positive changes that followed. Buyouts of high-risk, flood plain properties, for example, became more common.
鈥淏efore 1993, there were very few buyouts,鈥 said Galloway, now a professor of engineering at the University of Maryland. 鈥淚 think it鈥檚 55,000 buyouts since that time.鈥
Beyond the exodus of some individual property owners, communities such as Valmeyer and Rhineland, Mo. 鈥 two of the 75 towns completely inundated by flooding that year 鈥 relocated to higher elevations.
But some say the voluntary buyout system has ultimately been too scattershot to bring sweeping change to at-risk lowlands.
鈥淩ight now you only can go to willing sellers, 鈥檆ause it鈥檚 the rules, and that鈥檚 about the most inefficient way you can do this,鈥 said Brad Walker, the newly retired Big Rivers director for the Missouri Coalition for the Environment.
Other areas 鈥 like achieving better-coordinated flood policies across different levels of government 鈥 have fallen woefully short of what Galloway and some others hoped.
Though he 鈥渨ishes more had been done鈥 to revamp flood governance since 1993, Galloway says certain shortcomings are understandable.
鈥淭here鈥檚 nothing more political than telling someone where they can or can鈥檛 live,鈥 he said. 鈥淲hat we鈥檙e trying to do is communicate the risk and have people act on it.鈥
鈥楢 colossal failure鈥
Others are more critical when assessing flood policy actions taken 鈥 and not taken 鈥 since 1993.
鈥淚 view our current situation as a colossal failure of paying attention to the warnings of 1993,鈥 says Bob Criss, a professor in Washington University鈥檚 Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences who researches flooding.
While buyouts have spared some properties from continued risk, he says that, in many areas, their impact has been offset by flood plain development.
鈥淚t seems to me, if anything, it鈥檚 one home out and 10 more in,鈥 Criss said. 鈥淲e鈥檝e surrendered huge acreage to the developers.鈥
He and many other critics point to Chesterfield as a chief example.
鈥淐hesterfield Valley was underwater in 鈥93 and there鈥檚, I鈥檝e heard, more than $1 billion of new stuff built there,鈥 said Criss, referencing the suburb鈥檚 acres of new strip malls and shopping outlets.
鈥淭hat鈥檚 the poster child of bad and really ignorant development in a flood plain,鈥 agreed Walker.
Meanwhile, area levees have been reinforced, raised and newly built over the last 25 years 鈥 changes cheered as vital protective measures by some and viewed as potential amplifiers of flood risk by others. The structure protecting Chesterfield stands higher than it did in 鈥93, while Valley Park, along the Meramec River, welcomed a new levee that has become the focus of recentcontroversies about its height and potential impact on local flooding.
Concerns about levee impacts on floods in the Mississippi River Basin go back to at least the 1850s, when an engineer named Charles Ellet raised alarm echoed by Criss and others today.
鈥淗e basically said you cannot correct with levees the problems that levees, themselves cause,鈥 Criss said. 鈥淓llet knew it wasn鈥檛 going to work. We overbuilt the system and putting more and more stuff in these low-lying areas just aggravates the problem.鈥
In Chesterfield, at least, some tout the levee modifications as crucial investments in local safety and commerce, and say that flood plain development is done responsibly.
鈥淐hesterfield Valley has a substantially better levee system than it did in 鈥93,鈥 said David Human, a lawyer with levee and drainage system expertise, and the former executive director of the Monarch Chesterfield Levee District. 鈥淚f anything is developed within 600 to 1,000 feet of the levee, we send it to the corps, because we don鈥檛 want anything to affect the protection from the levee.鈥
The Army Corps of Engineers, meanwhile, steadfastly denies that the region鈥檚 levees worsen flood risk.
鈥淚鈥檒l take the easy way out and say floods come from rain. You can鈥檛 dispute that,鈥 Mike Feldmann, chief of programs and project management for the corps鈥 最新杏吧原创 District, told a group of environmental journalists last month in Alton.
Even though climate change makes the area more susceptible to extreme rain events, other experts insist that engineered changes to river systems compromise their ability to handle high water. They say not only is there less storage capacity for water in flood plains or wetlands, but that also could be the case as sedimentation fills in dam and river systems upstream.
鈥淭he capacity of those reservoirs is decreasing because of that,鈥 Hanes said. 鈥淚t鈥檚 a problem kind of creeping up on us.鈥
鈥榃hen,鈥 not 鈥榠f鈥
While people disagree on whether the region is more or less vulnerable to floods, everyone seems to agree on one thing: Looking ahead, another disaster on par with 1993 will happen in just a matter of time.
鈥淚t鈥檚 not an 鈥榠f,鈥 it鈥檚 a 鈥榳hen,鈥欌 said Human. 鈥淏ut the question is when? Is it next year, is it in five years, is it in 500 years? We don鈥檛 know.鈥
Although he wants property owners to make educated decisions about locating in a flood plain, he thinks building behind Chesterfield鈥檚 levee designed to withstand a 500-year flood is a safe bet.
鈥淲here isn鈥檛 there some risk?鈥 Human said. 鈥淔rom a risk standpoint, the likelihood of a New Madrid-type earthquake is at this point greater than a flood event that would exceed the design limits of the Chesterfield levee.鈥
Other flood experts say that 鈥 flawed or not 鈥 our current system is unlikely to change.
Some say that鈥檚 because flood mitigation is not valued properly.
鈥淲e still haven鈥檛 come to acceptance of the fact that protected and restored flood plain has economic value, one of the primary values being flood reduction,鈥 Walker said. 鈥淚f it had dollar value, a lot of these projects would just not be built.鈥
Decisions about living in flood-prone areas can also be shaped by access to insurance coverage.
鈥淭hat鈥檚 a whole different set of questions than just the science of floods,鈥 Hanes said.
Plus, meaningful change would take a lot of money 鈥 a tough ask, given tight government budgets. But it would also require a political push that some think is unlikely to reach a critical mass because current flood policy works well enough for the majority of the population.
鈥淭he current system works pretty well for most people,鈥 said Jonathan Remo, a Southern Illinois University Carbondale professor specializing in flood and river issues. 鈥淚 think we鈥檙e doomed to repeat ourselves because there鈥檚 just not a lot of political will to change the system.鈥
Take a look back at the flood of 1993
Flood of 1993 flood satellite image
The Great Flood of 1993: April 15, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: April 15, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: April 18, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 3, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 3, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 7, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 8, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 8, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 8, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 8, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 9, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 10, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 10, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 11, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 11, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 13, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 16, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 16, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 17, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 18, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 18, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 19, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 19, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 20, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 21, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 21, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 21, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 22, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 23, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 23, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 25, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 25, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 25, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 25, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 25, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 25, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 26, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 26, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 26, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 27, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 27, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: July 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 1, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 1, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 1, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 1, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 1, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 1, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 2, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 3, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 3, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 3, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 3, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 3, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 3, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993
The Great Flood of 1993
The Great Flood of 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 4, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 5, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 5, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 6, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 8, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 9, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 10, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 11, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 12, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 15, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 15, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 20, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 22, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 22, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 23, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 25, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 25, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Aug. 28, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: August 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: August 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: August 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: August 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Sept. 1, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Sept. 5, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Sept. 5, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Sept. 13,1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Sept. 24, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Sept. 24, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Sept. 24, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Sept. 25, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Sept. 25, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Sept. 26, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Sept. 27, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Sept. 27, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Oct. 1, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Oct. 2, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Oct. 3, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Nov. 18, 1993
The Great Flood of 1993: Nov. 21, 1993
THE FLOOD OF '93: BY THE NUMBERS
鈥 More than 20 million acres in nine states affected.
鈥 At least 75 towns completely inundated.
鈥 About 54,000 people evacuated at some point.
鈥 About 50,000 homes destroyed or damaged.
鈥 An estimated $36.9 billion in damage in the Midwest (adjusted for inflation).
鈥.Flood stages were exceeded at about 500 forecast points in nine states, with 95 of those seeing record flooding.
鈥.The Mississippi River's 49.52-foot crest recorded on Aug. 1, 1993, stands as the highest ever recorded at 最新杏吧原创.
Sources: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Weather Service and U.S. Geological Survey
In 1993, the Mississippi climbed above flood stage downtown in April, settled back and rebounded in June. On July 15, it surpassed its previou…
Jefferson City bureau chief Kurt Erickson talks about Proposition A and organized labor鈥檚 last-minute push to repeal Missouri鈥檚 right-to-work …
Joan Gust of Portage de Sioux reacting Sunday,聽July 26, 1993, to news that the Mississippi River will continue to rise and force her to leave her home. "I want to know who the hell's having so much fun that we have to suffer so," Gust said. At left is Paul Vossenkemper, her neighbor. File photo by Jerry Naunheim Jr.
Martin Sontheimer posted this message with sandbags on the roof of his St. Charles County home during the flood of 1993. The photograph, taken July 13, ran in newspapers worldwide. The house survived the flood. (Sam Leone/Post-Dispatch)